Huasheng: Currently, he is the executive vice president of China Federation of overseas Chinese business, vice president of Beijing Federation of overseas Chinese, honorary Dean of School of economics and management of Southeast University, Professor of Southeast University, the first batch of senior professors and doctoral supervisors of Humanities and social sciences of Southeast University, professor and doctoral supervisor of Wuhan University.
The changing world of epidemic situation: China's strategic choice at the historical juncture (2)
The first part (Watson: some people accuse the upper class of knowing that Hubei's illegal operation is no longer harmful to the upper class) said that according to international law or international practice, as long as there is no war or biological war, there is no problem that any country has liability for compensation. So as long as it is not intentional, such as the new coronavirus epidemic can not become the basis of international claims. Because in today's era of globalization, when countries are increasingly interconnected, if anything happens in one country that affects other countries, it is necessary to pursue compensation liability, there will be endless lawsuits, and ultimately no one will benefit from it.
Some people say that you should not be naive. What if there are people in the world who are unreasonable? In fact, that's not a problem. Because China is no longer a country that can be easily bullied. No one dare whisper war or threat of force against a nuclear power like China. Therefore, the current speculation about the responsibility of epidemic situation in the world is, first of all, the domestic political needs of all countries. For example, the United States clearly needs the presidential election in November this year. There are some people in China who deliberately exaggerate, but they also have their own purposes. In this sense, all the public opinions on the responsibility of the epidemic are essentially fighting a moral war. All parties concerned want to take the initiative morally and get the understanding and support of the majority, so that they can be transformed into other political and economic interests. The global economic and social life has been interrupted and halted by the outbreak. Too many countries, including developed countries, have suffered heavy losses, which is unprecedented in a century. This makes the moral war more and more important.
Having understood the essence of this problem, we need to adjust our ways and methods accordingly. The key to the moral struggle is to be reasonable, to show facts, to make sense and to convince people. If we don't face up to the problems and solve the doubts directly, but take offense as defense, aggressive and outspoken, it's impossible to persuade others and gain people's hearts. In addition to full and peaceful reasoning, we need to be humble to others so that we can easily understand and win friends. This new coronavirus outbreak was first reported to the World Health Organization and other countries in China. Now the epidemic is spreading in almost all countries around the world, causing more and more loss of life and property. In this situation, many people in many countries have more or less complaints, which can be understood and tolerated. For malicious attacks on defamation and non division, we should certainly fight back firmly, but at this time, we should not attack in a high-profile manner, criticize others, or take pride in ourselves and laugh at others when the reasons are unknown and there is no evidence. Instead, we should start from the angle of humanitarianism, understand the plight of others, and give help as much as we can.
For some suspicions, such as that the U.S. military brought the virus to Wuhan, such as the rumor that the new crown virus came from the biochemical research base in Fort DRICK, the U.S., because there is no solid basis, we participate in the hype of this kind of conspiracy theory in any way, which will not resolve our own pressure, but also easily cause other people's antipathy. In fact, there are also quite a few people in American society, including scientists, the public and even local governors, who, in the spirit of independent science, constantly explore the exact path and time of the origin of new coronavirus in the United States, and even re autopsy some patients who died of diseases in the past, so as to constantly update their true situation of the spread of new coronavirus in the United States To understand. As the initial report of the outbreak, we should, in the same scientific spirit, be practical and realistic, respond frankly to some normal concerns of the international community, and actively and responsibly promote our own investigation and source finding work. It's not a healthy attitude to give people the attitude that it has nothing to do with the work of tracing the source of epidemic situation, or to ideologize and not to do it by themselves. It seems that the Chinese who advocate to do it have the suspicion of selling their country, or to believe in and spread conspiracy theory, and to catch up with the wind and shadow in contradiction, and constantly excitedly announce that foreigners have found their own source of virus. In fact, if the source of the virus really comes from abroad, we need to know more about how it came to China, came to Wuhan, and caused us such a disaster. In a word, as long as we have a real and courageous attitude of seeking truth from facts, no matter what the ultimate truth is, we can establish our own moral image, so that we can really get a lot of help. At present, it seems that the concerns of the international community are mainly focused on two issues:
1、 What is the cause of the initial outbreak and the source of the virus?
It should be noted that it is natural and reasonable to raise this issue. We can't reject them all, let alone think they are all malicious. Because of such a tragic epidemic, it is very important for China and the world to find out the cause and the source of the virus. Only in this way can we know exactly what animals and intermediates the virus comes from, and how it is transmitted to humans, so as to cut off the source of infection at the source and prevent such incidents from happening again.
2、 Does China's early handling of the epidemic cause delays in other countries' handling of the epidemic and thus the expansion of losses, it should bear the so-called responsibility?
The outbreak began in China. We paid a great price at first, and then the measures taken by the state are the most resolute, and the phased results achieved are at least the most significant at present. At present, the epidemic situation in developed countries in Europe and the United States is still at its peak, and the prospect of epidemic situation in developing countries is generally not very optimistic. Is there any problem in dealing with the post epidemic situation in China? Do the problems in the treatment lead to the mistakes and passivity of other countries in dealing with the epidemic? Or on the contrary, as some of us claim, China does the best, and other people have problems just because they don't copy their homework? Let's start with the analysis of the second question.
China has subjective and objective favorable conditions for the prevention and control of the new epidemic
Virus invasion causes human infectious diseases, one of which is highly infectious and low mortality. For example, the mortality rate of influenza is usually about 1 ‰. It is too high to strictly prevent and guard against such infectious diseases. It is usually appropriate to protect, work and live as usual, and respond with the method of developing vaccine as soon as possible. Another kind of high mortality such as Ebola, Middle East respiratory syndrome, because patients die soon after being infected, which limits the infection rate. As long as the public health prevention and control measures are in place, they can also be controlled without too much impact on human social life. SARS is very contagious, with a mortality rate of nearly 10%, which is also very threatening. But it is usually post fever infection. So as long as the fever patients are monitored and the hospital infection is controlled, it can also be put out quickly.
But this time, the new coronavirus is different, highly infectious, and the mortality rate of middle-aged and elderly people can reach dozens of times of influenza. In the case of a run on medical resources, the death rate can also rise to 10%, which is equivalent to SARS. In particular, the onset time varies, the incubation period is a strong infectious, there are a considerable number of asymptomatic infections, thus becoming the biggest threat of infectious diseases in human society in the past century.
In the face of this special disease threat, China has shown its three special characteristics and advantages:
First, strengthen the national system
Under the Chinese system, the party and the government can take all measures on behalf of the society and the people to protect the overall interests, without any extra procedures and time to reach consensus or authorization. Therefore, it has high efficiency in decision-making and action. Although this system also has the weakness that once the decision-making mistakes will be difficult to correct due to the lack of constraints, it shows its special advantages when it needs social unity, such as an army or a person to act. China's public health system and state-owned enterprises have high efficiency and low transaction cost in mobilizing resources in the face of crisis. In the face of serious epidemic situation, a kind of wartime efficient system is just needed, so the superiority of China's system can be fully exerted and reflected.
As a new infectious disease with high infectivity and high mortality, new coronavirus is the most effective prevention and control measure in the absence of specific drugs and vaccines. However, in a highly globalized, market-oriented and socialized modern society, it is extremely difficult to make decisions that need to weigh the advantages and disadvantages of various economic and social aspects, and at the same time, it is extremely difficult to implement and implement in place.
However, under China's highly centralized and unified system, once the central government has made up its mind and made clear instructions, from the regional closure (i.e. the closure of the city, excluding the personnel and transportation authorized by the government, to the isolation of all personnel), to the restriction or prohibition of public gathering and opening, to the community, small area and village closure, to the concentration and isolation of suspected infected or close contacts, these can be achieved quickly Fast decision-making, and the specific deployment has no problems and can be implemented in place with minimum resistance. Although there are quite a lot of cities and regions in our country, the personnel exchanges with Wuhan and Hubei are many times more than those with foreign countries, the time is much earlier, and there is no experience that can be used for reference. No matter how many patients are infected with the new coronavirus (there are more than one thousand patients imported and infected from several provinces, and there are some in other cities of Hubei Province other than Wuhan To thousands of people), can quickly control the epidemic situation, and soon will be able to clear the local infection cases, the most important reason for the recovery of normal economic and social life.
Second, the influence of Confucian culture gene
Confucian culture emphasizes "monarch, minister, father, son", "self-cultivation, family alignment, governance, peace of the world". The social vision is that the emperor is clear, the parents are people-oriented, and the people live and work in peace and contentment. Therefore, when the society encounters problems and disasters, the first thing is for the incumbent to make decisions and arrangements for the state, while the common people should obey the unified arrangements and obey them. Even if the loss of personal interests or the restriction of personal rights is affected temporarily, it is not a problem. Under the influence of Confucian culture, people often have feelings of family and country in general. It's just to stand up and benefit the country and the people when they are in danger. From a small point of view, it's my duty to protect my family and my life, protect the village and the hospital. It's my duty to take neighbors as "suspects" in the epidemic situation and strictly prevent the disease from entering from outside. Therefore, when the epidemic situation of infectious diseases comes, it is natural and justifiable to ignore conditions, prices, overcome difficulties, and obey the overall situation of epidemic prevention and anti epidemic. Even if there is excessive behavior or correction, it is also reasonable. At this time, it was also stressed that there was no support from the public for personal will or damage to personal rights, let alone against protests. Therefore, this has provided a strong public opinion foundation for the rescue work of the country, making its various decrees unimpeded and extremely efficient. novel coronavirus