Watson: Wuhan Defense War (7)
Watson, 1953. In 1986, he was awarded the first batch of "national experts with outstanding contributions". In September 1984, at the first national economic working conference for young and middle-aged people, he and his colleagues put forward the idea of price dual system reform and was adopted by the State Council to become famous. He is currently vice president of China Economic System Reform Research Association, President of national development and Policy Research Institute, and senior professor of Southeast University.
Over the past 30 years, Huasheng has led his research team to creatively propose the establishment of state-owned assets administration, the reform of A-share ownership and split share structure, and a series of major problems and reform plans, such as the need to correct system defects in the stock market. Watson is also widely regarded as one of the most influential economists in China's securities market.
You will never understand my mind (middle)
Since March this year, the new coronavirus epidemic in Europe and the United States began to intensify, especially more and more Western politicians and celebrities have also been infected with the new coronavirus. After the outbreak in East Asia has been well controlled, these countries still haven't avoided the problems of neglect and slow response in the early stage of the epidemic, which makes many people in China think that our initial neglect and mistakes are understandable, perhaps unavoidable. Therefore, we must further in-depth analysis of the relationship and differences between various understanding issues and other issues, as well as accountability in different situations.
Beyond understanding the problem
The new coronavirus, just like the fickle white bone essence, is gentle when it comes, seemingly harmless. Some big experts also think that it is at best a big flu. And its incubation period can be long or short, no fever and no symptoms can also be transmitted, the most accurate nucleic acid detection is also considered to have a considerable false negative rate. After the virus developed and accumulated to a certain extent, it began to show ferocity (there were cases of infection in Wuhan in early December, but the first case of death was reported only on January 11). The virus attacks not only the lung, but also the heart, kidney and other important organs. In particular, some patients seem to be in good condition. Suddenly, they will have immune reaction disorder, appear cytokine storm, and turn to danger quickly. This loss, not only in Wuhan before and in the middle of prevention and control, but also in many developed countries in the world, even after the experience and lessons of Wuhan, China, it is still repeatedly hit, which shows that the virus is insidious and cunning.
Of course, if the development of the epidemic can be attributed to the problem of understanding, we can not demand the parties in Hubei and Wuhan at that time. As we have seen in some developed countries in Europe and the United States, if culture and customs are not conducive to epidemic prevention and resistance, and it is very difficult to change them with time and effort, then the public will pay a heavy price for it. This is just like the great plague that happened in the history, the social adaptability will eventually open up more or less the way for itself, and transform the culture and habits. For example, the cholera tragedy in London in the middle of the 19th century led to the comprehensive reconstruction and reconstruction of the modern urban water supply and drainage system. Now we also need to reexamine our taste preference for wild animals. If some people and some groups lack their own understanding, neglect or are more susceptible to their social ways, they and their relatives and friends have to bear the consequences. If the government is the first If we underestimate the enemy or misjudge and prepare for the epidemic, then the people will naturally pay the price on the ballot according to their response and other performances.
As we can see, America's New York Times is exploring "how does America Miss 30 days of gold?" The editor in chief of the lancet, a famous British Medical Journal, denounced that after the outbreak of the epidemic in China, the British inaction in February was a "national scandal"; there were also "white" straight men who reflected from a deeper cultural and ethnic level: why do we westerners not care about and can not experience the grief and crying of Chinese and East Asian people in February? The governor of New York State, the worst hit state in the United States, even admitted that they initially thought it was just an Asian disease and ignored it, and so on. In a word, all sectors of the society in developed countries are still at the peak of the disaster period of upward development of the epidemic. They have begun to review and reflect on the missed opportunity to respond to the epidemic development, and have asked the questions painfully: what should be learned from the tragedy of the epidemic and what lessons should be learned, so as to avoid the recurrence of such a disaster in the future? It can be seen that we don't need to worry about other people's summing up and pursuing responsibility for our own problems in the future.
Therefore, it is obvious that for those of us who have basically controlled the epidemic and have begun to resume normal production and life, we should not only pay attention to and track down the suffering and mistakes that others are facing now, but also look back carefully. We have neglected to report and are unwilling to face the suffering, cost and sacrifice of our own people, and sort out the epidemic In the process of occurrence and development, in the spirit of putting people's life and health first, we ask ourselves this question: what profound lessons should we learn from this epidemic and what expensive courses should we learn so as to avoid such disasters and tragedies happening again in our country and people?
Since China is the first country to break out the epidemic and announce it, of course, we need to find out the reasons why the early outbreak of Wuhan missed and killed the virus in its infancy, and distinguish between the problems of inexperienced understanding and the problems of dereliction of duty or lawlessness. In particular, the most serious epidemic in China is concentrated in a city in Wuhan (due to the outflow of people, the number of people left behind during the epidemic period is less than 10 million), and the severity of the epidemic in Wuhan relative to its population proportion is also in the forefront of the affected cities in the world. Different from the major media in developed countries, which follow up the severity of the epidemic in depth, especially focusing on the heroism at the individual level, focusing on the tragedy and feelings of patients and their families, our mainstream media, including local media, mainly focus on the collectivism and heroism of the country and the people in front of the disaster, and put the suffering and individual experience of the people in the affected area And family level feelings are completely transferred to the self media. In fact, this is not a good media ecology, nor conducive to enhancing the affinity and credibility of the mainstream media. Those who are keen to talk about other people's shortcomings and problems, taboo to talk about their own shortcomings and problems, are not really elbows. In the past, it was considered to occupy the position of public opinion to the maximum extent. In fact, it was the practice of abandoning and losing the position. It is also a lesson we need to summarize and ponder from this epidemic.
At the same time, it should be noted that, limited to the conditions at that time, some of our early patients infected with the new coronavirus were not included in the confirmed cases, and some of the people who lost their lives due to the new coronavirus infection could not be included in the death toll of this epidemic. In addition, it should be noted that we have only just started testing statistics for asymptomatic infected people. The proportion of people tested in the normal population is very low, so the number of new coronavirus cases is not completely comparable with that in some countries. Therefore, we can't simply compare the severity of the epidemic between China and foreign countries according to the media sense we are exposed to. As the new coronavirus epidemic is still developing in the world, the national conditions and cultural customs of each country are very different. Many conclusions and the comparison of the advantages and disadvantages of the corresponding ways, I'm afraid, need to be put into practice before a relatively comprehensive conclusion can be reached.
At present, the new coronavirus epidemic in a number of developed countries, or is on the way to the peak, or has reached the peak, but in either case, it can be predicted that the control of the epidemic in these countries is only a matter of time. Now people are worried about whether the peak of the third wave of new coronavirus epidemic will happen in the densely populated developing countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America. Some people at home think that the more serious the development of foreign epidemic situation, the more correct we are in response to it, the more favorable the situation is for us, and the less we need to pursue internal responsibility. In fact, this is totally wrong. The diffusion effect of this view is just the opposite. On the earth where human beings are becoming more and more community of destiny, the threat of new coronavirus is facing all human beings. When the virus is still raging on the earth, no one is safe, and no country will not be widely affected in economic, social and other aspects.
Ignorance and fearlessness of power
It should be admitted that ignorance and ignorance of the enemy seriously underestimate the situation of the enemy, which is the basis of the mistakes made by the principals and responsible persons in Hubei and Wuhan. That's probably why they think they're unlucky so far.
It's true that the new coronavirus is so weird that it's also called "rogue virus" in the world of top scientists. If it's like Ebola, or the Middle East comprehensive respiratory disease, or SARS, it's very aggressive. If it's going to kill people, it's probably not hard to deal with. The symptoms of these viruses are obvious and not difficult to trace. With the abundant medical resources in Hubei and Wuhan, it is not difficult to eliminate them.
So it's hard to believe that even on January 20, the high-level expert group of the national health and Health Commission returned from Wuhan and reported to the State Council in the morning. Du bin, a member of the expert group, said in an interview with the media, "in the afternoon, I also participated in the teleconference of the joint defense and control mechanism of the State Council. Not all the participants were from the health port, but also from the public security, transportation, etc. Two leading officials from Hubei Province also went there. Frankly speaking, from his report, I don't think it's beyond control "(see the interview with Du bin, a member of the high-level expert group, by Southern People Weekly). Even the State Council approved the high-level expert group headed by Zhong Nanshan to hold a press conference to announce the human to human transmission. At the executive meeting of the State Council, Premier Li Keqiang, in front of the governor of Hubei Province, conveyed the leader's instructions again on the same day: to put people's life safety and physical health first, and resolutely curb the spread of the epidemic (see China Health magazine to Li Lanjuan After that, the leaders of Hubei Province still thought that the arranged Spring Festival Group worship did not need to be cancelled temporarily, and still held the grand ceremony of singing and dancing as scheduled on the 21st. This is not because they are really not afraid of the new coronavirus, not afraid of dying from disease, but according to the reports they heard, the virus is really not much threat and danger, and they and the people around them are also safe. Therefore, they have their own understanding and interpretation of leaders' instructions and requirements on the basis of this understanding.
Even on January 26, the third day after the closure of Wuhan, the second day of the lunar new year, the situation in Wuhan has been quite disordered, chaotic and miserable, and the numbness and optimism of the local leaders seem to have not subsided. At a regular press conference on the prevention and control of pneumonia in Hubei Province, the mayor of Wuhan calmly introduced that 533 patients were treated in the hospital that day. "There are 2209 suspected cases in the hospital that have not been tested yet," so in addition to the 533 cases, the total number of patients in the hospital and staying in the hospital will increase by about 1000 at present. The mayor also explained that "a lot of citizens have been attacked by the virus and infected with viral pneumonia. This number always feels like the data I reported, the social response and even panic